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Red136
313832.9
24536.3
574924.5
Blue94
581135.0
12828.4
320123.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9075406010012014016013694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#2
36.32.0
32.935.0
Auto9.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
red by 1.4
5811
#17
35.01.3
32.333.6
Auto11.2
Teleop19.2
End4.6
Second
3138
#36
32.92.0
29.931.9
Auto7.7
Teleop20.4
End4.7
red by 4.5
128
#38
28.41.3
24.025.3
Auto5.4
Teleop16.7
End6.2
Third
5749
#29
24.53.4
22.726.1
Auto9.3
Teleop12.1
End3.1
red by 0.9
3201
#42
23.61.3
18.720.0
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed