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Red84
193932.3
320123.6
170825.7
Blue104
103831.3
411524.4
198532.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747105010015020025084104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#27
32.30.8
28.028.8
Auto9.3
Teleop19.1
End3.9
blue by 0.1
1985
#26
32.42.3
31.433.7
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End6.7
Second
1708
#44
25.70.8
23.724.5
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End5.1
blue by 5.7
1038
#10
31.32.3
22.825.1
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End5.8
Third
3201
#42
23.60.8
20.020.8
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End5.1
blue by 0.8
4115
#40
24.43.8
15.319.2
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed