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Red80
348432.2
349223.3
198532.4
Blue63
377721.4
313832.9
30009.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99732040601201401601808063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1985
#26
32.40.8
33.732.9
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End6.7
blue by 0.5
3138
#36
32.91.1
33.031.9
Auto7.7
Teleop20.4
End4.7
Second
3484
#22
32.21.4
31.530.2
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End7.7
red by 10.8
3777
#31
21.41.9
23.822.0
Auto2.5
Teleop13.0
End5.8
Third
3492
#34
23.31.4
27.125.7
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
red by 13.7
3000
#50
9.51.9
17.916.1
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed