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Red67
170825.7
27926.2
326617.7
Blue133
414533.1
581135.0
24536.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5610810015067133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
#39
26.20.6
21.722.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.8
End7.5
blue by 10.1
245
#2
36.31.7
34.235.9
Auto9.4
Teleop22.9
End4.1
Second
1708
#44
25.70.3
24.024.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End5.1
blue by 9.3
5811
#17
35.01.7
33.134.8
Auto11.2
Teleop19.2
End4.6
Third
3266
#48
17.70.5
16.316.8
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End2.0
blue by 15.4
4145
#11
33.11.7
30.231.9
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsMissed93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned