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Red105
402844.6
6334.4
170825.7
Blue73
313832.9
204026.8
452122.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747340506070809010010573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.62.4
34.136.5
Auto9.4
Teleop28.7
End6.5
red by 11.7
3138
#36
32.90.1
28.428.4
Auto7.7
Teleop20.4
End4.7
Second
63
#8
34.42.2
19.321.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End9.6
red by 7.5
2040
#35
26.80.1
24.224.3
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End4.0
Third
1708
#44
25.72.2
17.119.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End5.1
red by 3.7
4521
#32
22.00.1
19.619.7
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed