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Red20
30009.5
12039.2
124910.8
Blue67
492014.6
428418.8
332428.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785820401001202067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#13
39.23.5
41.337.8
Auto9.9
Teleop24.7
End4.6
red by 11.0
3324
#33
28.20.2
26.626.4
Auto8.5
Teleop16.6
End3.1
Second
1249
#56
10.85.5
15.610.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End2.8
blue by 8.0
4284
#49
18.80.2
17.817.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End2.5
Third
3000
#50
9.55.5
16.110.6
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End-0.1
blue by 5.0
4920
#46
14.60.2
15.415.2
Auto2.3
Teleop9.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed