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Red86
6334.4
414533.1
608418.5
Blue110
548431.2
301033.6
239932.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82955015086110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63
#8
34.40.3
32.232.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End9.6
red by 0.8
3010
#37
33.61.4
31.332.7
Auto9.5
Teleop16.4
End7.8
Second
4145
#11
33.10.3
31.932.2
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End5.0
red by 0.8
32.41.0
30.931.8
Auto7.1
Teleop19.6
End5.7
Third
6084
#45
18.50.5
17.117.6
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End1.0
blue by 12.8
5484
#20
31.21.0
28.129.1
Auto7.8
Teleop17.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed