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Red68
492014.6
581135.0
381424.0
Blue83
580917.9
103831.3
428418.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806020401001201406883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5811
#17
35.00.8
34.834.0
Auto11.2
Teleop19.2
End4.6
red by 3.7
1038
#10
31.31.5
27.629.1
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End5.8
Second
3814
#43
24.00.8
25.024.2
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End6.1
red by 5.2
4284
#49
18.81.5
17.619.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End2.5
Third
4920
#46
14.60.8
15.214.4
Auto2.3
Teleop9.2
End3.1
blue by 3.3
5809
#52
17.91.5
15.817.2
Auto7.0
Teleop9.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned35%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed