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Red123
201632.7
101432.4
425629.0
Blue70
30009.5
402844.6
618521.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957705015012370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#23
32.71.9
32.234.1
Auto9.5
Teleop17.8
End5.4
blue by 11.9
44.60.5
45.044.4
Auto9.4
Teleop28.7
End6.5
Second
32.41.9
30.332.2
Auto8.7
Teleop19.9
End3.8
red by 10.5
6185
#51
21.90.7
22.521.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End4.2
Third
4256
#21
29.01.9
27.229.1
Auto8.0
Teleop16.9
End4.1
red by 19.5
3000
#50DQ
9.50.7
10.29.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed