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Red32
541821.9
217228.2
597319.0
Blue34
460122.7
45124.0
478015.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585401002003004003234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2172
#34
28.22.7
24.421.6
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End4.8
red by 4.1
451
#20
24.02.1
17.415.4
Auto8.1
Teleop13.3
End2.7
Second
5418
#54
21.93.2
15.512.3
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
blue by 0.8
4601
#22
22.72.1
18.616.5
Auto9.8
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Third
5973
#52
19.06.5
19.012.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End2.3
red by 3.8
4780
#51
15.22.1
16.614.6
Auto6.8
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed