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Red61
460122.7
359127.6
33727.6
Blue73
87031.7
124815.4
26328.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606640507080906173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3591
#48
27.60.2
19.119.2
Auto6.2
Teleop17.3
End4.1
blue by 4.1
870
#24
31.71.1
21.622.6
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End6.1
Second
337
#30
27.60.1
23.824.0
Auto10.1
Teleop8.4
End9.1
blue by 0.7
263
#13
28.31.1
26.727.8
Auto8.6
Teleop15.8
End3.9
Third
4601
#22
22.70.2
16.516.7
Auto9.8
Teleop10.5
End2.5
red by 7.3
1248
#53
15.41.1
15.016.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsMissed49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed