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Red54
159018.9
603224.5
411925.3
Blue48
317127.9
507713.4
414523.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48660204060801001205448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4119
#36
25.30.5
17.217.7
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End6.8
blue by 2.6
3171
#40
27.91.5
25.023.5
Auto7.6
Teleop15.9
End4.3
Second
6032
#12
24.50.5
17.017.6
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End4.2
red by 0.9
4145
#45
23.61.5
20.218.8
Auto6.4
Teleop13.2
End4.1
Third
18.90.5
15.015.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End1.2
red by 5.5
5077
#58
13.41.5
16.014.5
Auto2.5
Teleop8.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed