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Qual 242016 Buckeye Regional
Red78
452119.6
78127.7
15628.1
Blue77
411925.3
2728.6
597319.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66674050607080907877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156
#5
28.10.9
25.1→25.9
Auto8.0
Teleop15.5
End4.6
blue by 0.5
27
#8
28.60.3
33.5→33.8
Auto8.8
Teleop14.0
End5.8
Second
781
#10
27.70.9
20.6→21.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End3.9
red by 2.4
4119
#36
25.30.3
17.7→18.0
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End6.8
Third
4521
#41
19.61.5
19.3→20.7
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End3.6
red by 0.6
5973
#52
19.00.3
13.2→13.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed