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Red74
428418.9
87031.7
461128.4
Blue84
201024.5
317325.4
452119.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64683040506080901001107484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#24
31.71.2
19.821.0
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End6.1
red by 6.3
3173
#39
25.41.5
22.524.0
Auto6.9
Teleop12.9
End5.6
Second
4611
#33
28.41.2
23.124.3
Auto10.3
Teleop13.7
End4.5
red by 3.9
2010
#42
24.51.5
22.724.2
Auto9.3
Teleop12.4
End2.9
Third
4284
#38
18.91.2
20.221.4
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End2.7
blue by 0.7
4521
#41
19.61.5
20.722.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsMissed58%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed