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Red40
514621.3
478015.2
260318.4
Blue80
125926.2
603224.5
403939.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51720204060801001204080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5146
#15
21.31.4
20.519.2
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End2.5
blue by 17.7
39.01.5
33.735.2
Auto13.2
Teleop19.1
End6.7
Second
2603
#57
18.41.4
19.017.6
Auto6.9
Teleop10.7
End0.8
blue by 7.8
1259
#32
26.21.5
14.215.7
Auto5.1
Teleop16.3
End4.7
Third
4780
#51
15.21.4
12.911.5
Auto6.8
Teleop6.9
End1.5
blue by 9.3
6032
#12
24.51.5
18.620.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed