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Red84
167627.5
428418.9
602724.1
Blue65
335616.1
217228.2
566718.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785302040601001201408465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#23
27.50.1
27.027.1
Auto8.4
Teleop13.7
End5.4
blue by 0.7
2172
#34
28.20.7
23.223.9
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End4.8
Second
6027
#21
24.10.2
23.723.9
Auto9.9
Teleop10.4
End3.9
red by 5.6
5667
#50
18.51.1
17.318.4
Auto6.1
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Third
4284
#38
18.90.2
21.421.6
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End2.7
red by 2.9
3356
#56
16.11.1
14.415.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed