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Red55
63925.2
260318.4
411925.3
Blue59
602724.1
460122.7
412122.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706502040801001201401605559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4119
#36
25.31.4
19.818.4
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End6.8
red by 1.1
6027
#21
24.10.6
23.923.4
Auto9.9
Teleop10.4
End3.9
Second
639
#43
25.21.4
27.826.5
Auto7.6
Teleop13.0
End4.6
red by 2.5
4601
#22
22.70.6
18.918.3
Auto9.8
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Third
2603
#57
18.41.4
19.718.3
Auto6.9
Teleop10.7
End0.8
blue by 4.0
4121
#28
22.40.6
21.320.8
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsMissed64%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed