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Red92
125926.2
507713.4
87031.7
Blue85
408529.7
30334.1
167627.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4710502060801201401609285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#24
31.74.2
26.030.2
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End6.1
blue by 2.4
303
#2
34.10.9
33.933.0
Auto8.7
Teleop19.3
End6.0
Second
1259
#32
26.24.2
17.321.5
Auto5.1
Teleop16.3
End4.7
blue by 3.5
4085
#31
29.71.5
32.430.9
Auto7.1
Teleop14.4
End8.1
Third
5077
#58
13.44.2
10.915.1
Auto2.5
Teleop8.7
End2.1
blue by 14.2
1676
#23
27.50.9
27.126.2
Auto8.4
Teleop13.7
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed