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Red65
412122.4
87031.7
335616.1
Blue75
603224.5
514621.3
2728.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54660204060801001206575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#24
31.71.2
20.321.6
Auto7.4
Teleop18.3
End6.1
red by 3.1
27
#8
28.61.4
30.832.2
Auto8.8
Teleop14.0
End5.8
Second
4121
#28
22.41.2
17.819.0
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End4.5
blue by 2.1
6032
#12
24.59.9
26.917.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End4.2
Third
3356
#56DQ
16.11.2
15.917.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
blue by 5.3
5146
#15
21.31.4
15.817.2
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed