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Red59
201024.5
264115.0
602724.1
Blue63
597319.0
414523.6
514621.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676440506080901001105963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#42
24.50.6
26.726.0
Auto9.3
Teleop12.4
End2.9
red by 0.9
4145
#45
23.60.0
23.223.3
Auto6.4
Teleop13.2
End4.1
Second
6027
#21
24.10.6
23.422.7
Auto9.9
Teleop10.4
End3.9
red by 2.8
5146
#15
21.30.0
21.922.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Third
2641
#47
15.00.4
14.814.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End1.5
blue by 4.0
5973
#52
19.00.0
17.417.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsMissed67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed