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Red79
574026.4
478015.2
412122.4
Blue49
408529.7
428418.9
124815.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637202040801001201407949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.4
26.126.5
Auto8.0
Teleop12.4
End5.9
blue by 3.3
4085
#31
29.72.2
30.928.7
Auto7.1
Teleop14.4
End8.1
Second
4121
#28
22.40.7
20.821.4
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End4.5
red by 3.4
4284
#38
18.92.2
20.118.0
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End2.7
Third
4780
#51
15.20.7
15.916.6
Auto6.8
Teleop6.9
End1.5
blue by 0.1
1248
#53
15.42.2
17.615.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed