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Red76
63925.2
317325.4
33727.6
Blue108
30334.1
331432.0
332420.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77925010015076108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
337
#30
27.60.1
25.024.9
Auto10.1
Teleop8.4
End9.1
blue by 6.5
303
#2
34.11.4
33.034.4
Auto8.7
Teleop19.3
End6.0
Second
3173
#39
25.40.1
25.825.7
Auto6.9
Teleop12.9
End5.6
blue by 6.5
3314
#27
32.01.4
30.331.6
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End4.1
Third
639
#43
25.20.1
26.526.3
Auto7.6
Teleop13.0
End4.6
red by 4.4
3324
#37
20.82.3
23.926.2
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned