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Red90
541340.8
2728.6
566718.5
Blue82
201024.5
461128.4
125926.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions928040601001201409082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.80.3
40.940.6
Auto7.1
Teleop22.7
End10.9
red by 12.3
4611
#33
28.40.2
30.430.2
Auto10.3
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Second
27
#8
28.60.3
29.329.0
Auto8.8
Teleop14.0
End5.8
red by 2.4
1259
#32
26.20.2
22.922.7
Auto5.1
Teleop16.3
End4.7
Third
5667
#50
18.50.3
17.517.2
Auto6.1
Teleop10.0
End2.5
blue by 6.0
2010
#42
24.50.2
26.025.8
Auto9.3
Teleop12.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed