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Red70
412122.4
317127.9
264115.0
Blue117
12035.7
78127.7
217228.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions599620408012014016070117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#40
27.90.8
26.727.5
Auto7.6
Teleop15.9
End4.3
blue by 7.9
120
#25
35.71.6
35.637.3
Auto9.3
Teleop22.2
End4.2
Second
4121
#28
22.40.8
21.422.2
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End4.5
blue by 5.8
2172
#34
28.21.6
26.328.0
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End4.8
Third
2641
#47
15.00.5
14.414.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End1.5
blue by 12.6
781
#10
27.71.6
25.527.2
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned