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Red112
21736.2
541821.9
125926.2
Blue87
26328.3
33727.6
317127.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7787406010012014011287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#6
36.23.7
34.838.5
Auto6.7
Teleop21.3
End8.2
red by 7.9
263
#13
28.30.4
28.328.7
Auto8.6
Teleop15.8
End3.9
Second
1259
#32
26.23.5
22.726.2
Auto5.1
Teleop16.3
End4.7
blue by 1.7
3171
#40
27.90.4
27.527.9
Auto7.6
Teleop15.9
End4.3
Third
5418
#54
21.93.5
18.521.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
blue by 5.6
337
#30
27.60.3
27.327.6
Auto10.1
Teleop8.4
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed