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Semifinal 1-22016 Buckeye Regional
Red143
78127.7
403939.0
412122.4
Blue110
225238.1
15628.1
331432.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061246080100140160180143110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#1
39.00.3
38.9→39.2
Auto13.2
Teleop19.1
End6.7
red by 0.9
2252
#18
38.10.3
38.4→38.1
Auto9.6
Teleop23.4
End5.1
Second
781
#10
27.70.2
27.6→27.8
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End3.9
blue by 4.3
3314
#27
32.00.3
32.3→32.0
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End4.1
Third
4121
#28
22.40.3
22.3→22.6
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End4.5
blue by 5.7
156
#5
28.10.3
28.4→28.1
Auto8.0
Teleop15.5
End4.6