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Semifinal 2-12016 Buckeye Regional
Red156
37940.1
2728.6
101427.9
Blue115
12035.7
541340.8
201024.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181178090100110130140150160156115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#17
40.10.4
40.1→40.6
Auto6.4
Teleop24.0
End9.6
blue by 0.7
5413
#3
40.80.2
41.1→40.9
Auto7.1
Teleop22.7
End10.9
Second
27
#8
28.60.4
28.7→29.1
Auto8.8
Teleop14.0
End5.8
blue by 7.2
120
#25
35.70.2
36.0→35.8
Auto9.3
Teleop22.2
End4.2
Third
1014
#14
27.90.4
28.0→28.4
Auto6.9
Teleop17.8
End3.3
red by 3.4
2010
#42
24.50.2
24.9→24.7
Auto9.3
Teleop12.4
End2.9