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Red82
301033.6
426928.3
217228.2
Blue118
225238.1
408535.4
69524.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9110205015020082118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3010
#15
33.60.0
33.633.6
Auto9.5
Teleop16.4
End7.8
blue by 4.4
38.10.0
38.138.1
Auto9.6
Teleop23.4
End5.1
Second
4269
#24
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End5.8
blue by 7.1
4085
#13
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto12.0
Teleop14.0
End9.4
Third
2172
#23
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End4.8
red by 3.9
695
#18
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto10.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds0%Capture odds