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Red104
301033.6
178728.1
412124.0
Blue149
402846.0
313832.9
101432.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83120050100150200104149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3010
#15
33.60.0
33.633.6
Auto9.5
Teleop16.4
End7.8
blue by 12.4
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto11.2
Teleop25.9
End8.8
Second
1787
#17
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto6.9
Teleop17.3
End3.8
blue by 4.8
3138
#10
32.90.0
32.932.9
Auto7.7
Teleop20.4
End4.7
Third
4121
#22
24.00.0
24.024.0
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.1
blue by 8.4
1014
#11
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto8.7
Teleop19.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds7%Capture odds