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Red97
260322.5
408535.4
101432.4
Blue106
69524.3
581134.1
12828.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948805015020097106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4085
#13
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto12.0
Teleop14.0
End9.4
red by 1.3
34.10.0
34.134.1
Auto11.0
Teleop16.6
End6.5
Second
1014
#11
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto8.7
Teleop19.9
End3.8
red by 4.0
128
#7
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto5.4
Teleop16.7
End6.2
Third
2603
#16
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End2.1
blue by 1.8
695
#18
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto10.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds1%Capture odds