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Semifinal 2-22016 Ohio FRC State Championship
Red174
541342.5
414533.1
428324.9
Blue122
69524.3
4840.6
313832.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12411950100150200174122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5413
#3
42.50.0
42.5→42.5
Auto9.8
Teleop22.5
End10.2
red by 1.9
48
#4
40.60.0
40.6→40.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
Second
4145
#2
33.10.0
33.1→33.1
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End5.0
red by 0.3
3138
#10
32.90.0
32.9→32.9
Auto7.7
Teleop20.4
End4.7
Third
4283
#14
24.90.0
24.9→24.9
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End4.2
red by 0.6
695
#18
24.30.0
24.3→24.3
Auto10.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1