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Quarterfinal 3-32016 Oklahoma Regional
Red148
452232.5
350740.9
144824.4
Blue97
359328.4
235924.9
93527.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130965015020014897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.0
42.242.2
Auto11.1
Teleop24.3
End5.4
red by 12.5
3593
#16
28.40.1
28.528.4
Auto6.5
Teleop16.7
End5.2
Second
4522
#11
32.50.0
33.833.9
Auto6.9
Teleop21.3
End4.4
red by 5.5
935
#23
27.00.1
27.127.0
Auto7.2
Teleop15.1
End4.7
Third
1448
#25
24.40.0
26.226.2
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End3.9
blue by 0.5
24.90.1
25.024.9
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End3.9