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Red35
216519.5
298613.9
120920.0
Blue90
93227.0
359328.4
602626.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62690501001502003590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1209
#51
20.03.0
19.716.7
Auto1.1
Teleop15.9
End3.0
blue by 8.4
3593
#16
28.41.9
27.229.1
Auto6.5
Teleop16.7
End5.2
Second
2165
#40
19.53.0
24.421.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End4.3
blue by 7.4
932
#20
27.02.1
22.724.9
Auto8.7
Teleop13.7
End4.6
Third
2986
#41
13.93.0
17.714.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End2.4
blue by 13.0
6026
#10
26.92.6
16.319.0
Auto10.2
Teleop13.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsMissed60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned