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Red45
170021.5
557817.4
593021.8
Blue75
276521.4
452317.0
400528.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425302060801001201404575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5930
#15
21.80.8
14.814.0
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End3.0
blue by 7.1
4005
#27
28.91.6
21.623.2
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End6.4
Second
1700
#46
21.50.8
17.316.5
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End3.9
red by 0.1
2765
#42
21.42.2
12.514.7
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End3.3
Third
5578
#44
17.40.8
10.59.6
Auto5.8
Teleop8.3
End3.4
red by 0.4
4523
#52
17.02.2
15.918.1
Auto5.8
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed17%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed