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Red82
315221.7
144824.4
440331.6
Blue79
279524.5
366027.3
200419.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635002040801008279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.5
24.125.6
Auto9.3
Teleop17.7
End4.6
red by 4.3
3660
#13
27.33.1
19.622.7
Auto8.4
Teleop15.9
End3.0
Second
1448
#25
24.42.5
19.221.7
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End3.9
blue by 0.1
2795
#22
24.53.1
14.317.5
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Third
3152
#18
21.72.5
16.018.5
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End4.1
red by 2.0
2004
#34
19.73.1
16.920.0
Auto9.2
Teleop9.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed