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Qual 362016 Oklahoma Regional
Red45
366027.3
233328.9
3113.1
Blue67
593021.8
509827.6
429814.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656302040801001201401604567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2333
#35
28.91.2
24.2→23.1
Auto8.1
Teleop16.9
End3.9
red by 1.3
5098
#38
27.60.4
31.4→31.8
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End4.6
Second
3660
#13
27.32.0
22.7→20.7
Auto8.4
Teleop15.9
End3.0
red by 5.5
5930
#15
21.80.6
14.0→14.6
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Third
31
#57
13.11.2
15.9→14.7
Auto6.4
Teleop5.8
End0.9
blue by 1.8
4298
#48
14.90.6
15.9→16.5
Auto2.5
Teleop10.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsMissed56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed