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Red57
440023.2
200419.7
144824.4
Blue93
316321.5
349823.0
359328.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685902040801001201405793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1448
#25
24.40.8
21.720.9
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End3.9
blue by 4.0
3593
#16
28.41.6
28.029.7
Auto6.5
Teleop16.7
End5.2
Second
4400
#47
23.20.5
22.722.2
Auto8.5
Teleop11.7
End2.9
red by 0.2
3498
#32
23.02.7
17.320.1
Auto6.1
Teleop12.0
End4.9
Third
2004
#34
19.70.8
20.019.2
Auto9.2
Teleop9.0
End1.4
blue by 1.8
3163
#53
21.52.7
13.115.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed