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Red80
234129.1
400528.9
315221.7
Blue100
452232.5
602626.9
238213.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66676070809010080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#17
29.11.0
26.027.1
Auto6.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2
blue by 3.4
4522
#11
32.52.0
28.830.8
Auto6.9
Teleop21.3
End4.4
Second
4005
#27
28.91.1
23.224.3
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End6.4
red by 1.9
6026
#10
26.93.3
21.725.0
Auto10.2
Teleop13.3
End3.4
Third
3152
#18
21.71.7
15.317.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End4.1
red by 8.6
2382
#55
13.13.3
14.718.0
Auto1.9
Teleop8.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed