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Red66
170021.5
561113.9
317921.0
Blue57
589215.0
598411.1
440023.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594802040801001201401606657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#46
21.50.0
20.020.0
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End3.9
blue by 1.7
4400
#47
23.20.2
22.222.5
Auto8.5
Teleop11.7
End2.9
Second
3179
#28
21.00.0
22.622.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.7
End3.8
red by 6.0
5892
#60
15.00.4
12.913.3
Auto3.1
Teleop8.8
End3.0
Third
5611
#36
13.90.0
13.213.3
Auto2.7
Teleop9.0
End2.2
red by 2.9
5984
#59
11.10.4
13.313.7
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed25%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed