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Red76
493317.9
316024.0
557817.4
Blue63
246118.3
237324.7
144824.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476402040801007663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3160
#45
24.01.9
22.824.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End9.2
blue by 0.7
2373
#30
24.70.4
20.420.8
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End4.9
Second
4933
#49
17.93.1
14.617.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End3.6
blue by 6.5
1448
#25
24.40.4
23.924.3
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End3.9
Third
5578
#44
17.43.1
10.813.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.3
End3.4
blue by 0.9
2461
#39
18.30.2
15.215.5
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed