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Red45
588919.6
238213.1
598411.1
Blue93
359328.4
174226.2
235430.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47842040601001201404593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5889
#31
19.60.7
19.919.1
Auto7.7
Teleop9.4
End2.5
blue by 10.7
30.30.7
25.326.1
Auto8.2
Teleop17.3
End4.8
Second
2382
#55
13.10.7
18.017.3
Auto1.9
Teleop8.3
End2.9
blue by 15.3
3593
#16
28.40.4
30.831.2
Auto6.5
Teleop16.7
End5.2
Third
5984
#59
11.10.7
13.713.0
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End0.5
blue by 15.1
1742
#33
26.20.7
20.421.1
Auto6.7
Teleop17.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed