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Red52
400528.9
345716.8
242410.7
Blue39
3113.1
317921.0
349823.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58632040801005239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4005
#27
28.90.3
26.626.3
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End6.4
red by 5.9
3498
#32
23.03.0
23.020.0
Auto6.1
Teleop12.0
End4.9
Second
3457
#19
16.80.5
17.917.4
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End2.9
blue by 4.2
3179
#28
21.03.0
23.020.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.7
End3.8
Third
2424
#54
10.70.5
12.211.7
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End0.2
blue by 2.5
31
#57
13.11.8
14.612.9
Auto6.4
Teleop5.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsMissed59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed