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Qual 772016 Oklahoma Regional
Red47
562114.8
279524.5
440023.2
Blue118
400528.9
588919.6
366027.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627220408010012047118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2795
#22
24.51.6
24.2→22.6
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End4.5
blue by 4.3
4005
#27
28.92.0
26.3→28.3
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End6.4
Second
4400
#47
23.21.0
23.2→22.2
Auto8.5
Teleop11.7
End2.9
blue by 4.1
3660
#13
27.33.1
22.8→25.9
Auto8.4
Teleop15.9
End3.0
Third
5621
#50
14.81.6
14.6→13.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End2.0
blue by 4.8
5889
#31
19.63.1
19.3→22.4
Auto7.7
Teleop9.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned