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Red62
50019.1
400528.9
316321.5
Blue63
589215.0
509827.6
238822.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567102040801001201401606263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4005
#27
28.90.4
28.328.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End6.4
red by 1.3
5098
#38
27.60.3
27.727.5
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End4.6
Second
3163
#53
21.50.5
21.021.5
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End4.7
blue by 0.7
2388
#24
22.20.3
22.522.2
Auto1.9
Teleop14.3
End6.0
Third
5001
#61
9.10.6
7.07.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End1.8
blue by 5.9
5892
#60
15.00.4
16.716.3
Auto3.1
Teleop8.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed75%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed