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Red54
246118.3
200419.7
216519.5
Blue57
276521.4
562114.8
345716.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634902040801001205457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2004
#34
19.70.5
20.219.7
Auto9.2
Teleop9.0
End1.4
blue by 1.7
2765
#42
21.40.7
20.721.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End3.3
Second
2165
#40
19.50.5
20.019.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End4.3
red by 2.8
3457
#19
16.80.7
16.116.8
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End2.9
Third
2461
#39
18.30.3
18.618.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End2.2
red by 3.6
5621
#50
14.80.7
13.013.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed33%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed