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Qual 862016 Oklahoma Regional
Red101
350740.9
279524.5
429814.9
Blue94
602626.9
235232.5
440023.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7882020406010012014016010194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3507
#2
40.91.3
40.8→42.1
Auto11.1
Teleop24.3
End5.4
red by 8.3
2352
#6
32.51.4
31.3→32.8
Auto7.7
Teleop20.9
End3.9
Second
2795
#22
24.51.9
22.6→24.5
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End4.5
blue by 2.4
6026
#10
26.91.4
25.4→26.9
Auto10.2
Teleop13.3
End3.4
Third
4298
#48
14.91.9
13.1→14.9
Auto2.5
Teleop10.7
End1.7
blue by 8.3
4400
#47
23.21.0
22.2→23.2
Auto8.5
Teleop11.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed