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Qual 892016 Oklahoma Regional
Red121
235924.9
156121.8
359328.4
Blue70
555014.6
239524.3
557817.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8048020406010012012170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3593
#16
28.40.5
27.7→28.3
Auto6.5
Teleop16.7
End5.2
red by 4.1
2395
#26
24.31.2
23.0→24.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End4.8
Second
2359
#9
24.90.5
24.2→24.8
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End3.9
red by 7.5
5578
#44
17.41.8
15.6→17.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.3
End3.4
Third
1561
#29
21.80.8
21.0→21.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.5
End3.8
red by 7.2
5550
#58
14.61.8
12.8→14.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed