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Quarterfinal 2-22016 North Bay Regional
Red103
22929.1
490730.8
406921.2
Blue118
491725.8
270630.1
355028.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100106406080120140160103118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#6
30.80.2
31.0→30.8
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End4.2
red by 0.7
2706
#7
30.10.2
30.2→30.4
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.4
Second
229
#25
29.10.2
29.3→29.1
Auto6.3
Teleop18.0
End4.8
red by 0.8
3550
#14
28.30.2
28.4→28.6
Auto10.5
Teleop12.8
End5.1
Third
4069
#26
21.20.2
21.4→21.2
Auto6.9
Teleop12.2
End2.2
blue by 4.6
4917
#23
25.80.2
25.9→26.1
Auto8.1
Teleop15.6
End2.1