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Quarterfinal 3-12016 North Bay Regional
Red70
201342.1
130544.9
452620.9
Blue129
132533.5
580729.3
451926.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144110608010012016018020070129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.90.9
46.045.1
Auto6.2
Teleop32.9
End5.9
red by 11.4
1325
#13
33.50.1
34.534.4
Auto12.5
Teleop14.8
End6.2
Second
42.10.9
43.142.2
Auto14.0
Teleop20.8
End7.2
red by 12.8
29.30.1
30.330.2
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End4.8
Third
4526
#20
20.90.9
21.921.0
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End3.1
blue by 5.7
4519
#18
26.50.1
27.527.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End4.0