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Red60
496813.5
406921.2
491725.8
Blue72
270630.1
218523.8
471617.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71822040601001201406072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#23
25.81.2
29.428.2
Auto8.1
Teleop15.6
End2.1
blue by 4.3
30.10.7
30.029.2
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.4
Second
4069
#26
21.20.7
26.425.7
Auto6.9
Teleop12.2
End2.2
blue by 2.6
2185
#12
23.80.7
24.523.8
Auto8.2
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Third
4968
#31
13.51.2
14.913.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.0
End1.0
blue by 3.7
4716
#10
17.11.2
23.522.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsMissed85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed